Draft - Column describing the world

Bugs of the human brain

Put simply, our lives are interactions with others; we need to understand where the human brain is imperfect.

Natural evolution and 'the meaning of life'

"Thinking, Fast and Slow": bugs of the human brain. Not sure if it's a translation issue—some places use words you know, but when put together you can't understand them.

"Outliers", "The Limits of Growth": how is the human brain trained? Specialists vs generalists. Which fields suit specialists better? Which suit generalists better?

Yjango's learning view: choose the right input and output. If you want to practice using English and normally plan to watch American TV shows to practice, then don't watch with subtitles, because when you talk to others in English they don't have subtitles on their faces; you must have concrete examples.

After qualitative analysis, don't forget to do quantitative analysis

Example 1: short-term sprints vs slow and steady

Be sure to complete tasks in the short to medium term

The short-to-mid-term task completion above mainly considers that if the front is stretched too long, you won't get returns for a long time and morale will be affected.

But short-to-mid-term sprints consume a lot of energy and cause feelings of aversion.

A 400-page book

Assume you adopt a short-to-mid-term sprint strategy and read 30 pages a day, then you can finish in 13 days. Within a week, you read 30 pages on day one and then feel very tired; on day two you barely finish 30 pages; on days three and four you don't want to read; on day five you read 30 pages; on days six and seven you don't want to read. So what you complete in a week is 90 pages, about 12 pages per day. You didn't manage to read 50 pages every day in a week as expected; instead you were inconsistent, which also affects your morale.

Assume you adopt the slow-and-steady strategy: every day you can read 10 pages, and after one month and 10 days you will finish. The timeline is a bit longer, but you might feel that finishing a book in a month and 10 days is pretty good.

Example: product pricing

There are too many factors involved; it's hard to calculate.

Judea Pearl? Wait—朱·弗登博格, Jean Tirole's "Game Theory" 2015 edition; it's said this translation is relatively good compared to other versions. todo: haven't finished reading

Because so many factors are involved, the best approach is to actually try all the strategies. The world is too complex; this year's strategy might not work next year.

Randomness (randomness includes risk—what else?)

The word risk hides randomness. When we say doing something is risky, we mean there's a certain probability that something bad will happen after doing it.

"Fooled by Randomness", "The Drunkard's Walk": randomness

"The Black Swan": risk

"Antifragile": risk. Antifragile means that under stress within certain limits, it can become stronger. Recognize what is fragile and what is antifragile.

"Skin in the Game": you have to personally get in and bear the risk to make good decisions (for example, if you learn economics or management, you must practice it yourself). Translated as "asymmetric risk," which seems to come from the book's point that some people reap benefits while shifting corresponding risks onto others—risk is asymmetric.

Annie Duke "Thinking in Bets": the author is a well-known poker player; poker has a lot of randomness—your decision can be correct but you lose due to bad luck. You need to figure out whether your failure was due to bad luck or because you made a bad decision?