Characteristics of the real world - draft

Randomness

Taleb: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, Antifragile, Asymmetric Risk

The Drunkard's Walk

The Bet

Complexity

Sometimes truth is held by a minority

The Giant Baby Nation: a large portion of people's psychological development is at the infant stage, they revere collectivism and must coexist with others

Diode

When you can't out-argue someone logically, you start labeling them and attacking personally

Sometimes truth is held by the majority:

The Wisdom of Crowds: I only watched a little; the gist is that if everyone makes judgments independently, the group's judgment is likely correct. In the documentary The Human Face of Big Data there seems to be an experiment where everyone in an office independently guessed how many balls were in a jar; answers ranged from 80 to 5000, and the average of all answers was only about twenty off the true number. But this experiment isn't rigorous enough; more rounds are needed to ensure it's not just luck.

Sometimes truth varies by person

In training, some people can reach failure on every set; others, if they reach failure on the first set, see a big drop in repetitions and form quality in subsequent sets. So whether to go to failure every set depends on the person.

Some people have abundant energy and can work 16 hours a day. Some can do at most 6 hours a day.

I haven't read The Great Gatsby, but I remember a line: when you criticize others, don't forget that others don't have the same good conditions as you.

If someone starts out in very poor conditions and ultimately is driven to become a gangster and murderer, should they be blamed?

Akira Kurosawa has a film seemingly called The Last Samurai; the samurai are deceived by cunning peasants and die tragically. But in the film someone says who made the peasants become so deceitful — the samurai.

Feynman said that if you can't explain something so simply that a child can understand it, you don't truly understand it. Is Feynman's statement correct? That seems to contradict my belief that the world is complex.

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